Personal Info

E-mail: david.bonilla(at)ouce.ox.ac.uk
Web Link: http://www.tsu.ox.ac.uk/people/dbonilla.php

Academic Background:

David Bonilla is a research fellow at the Transport Studies Unit in the Oxford University Centre for the Environment at the University of Oxford. He did his first degree (Economics) at London Guildhall University, his MSc (Economics) at Queen Mary College, University of London, and his PhD at Tokyo University of Agriculture and Technology. Prior to his PhD he was an energy economist, focusing on the transport sector, at the Institute of Energy Economics, Japan, located in Tokyo. He was a researcher at the Venture Business Laboratory of the Tokyo University of Agriculture and Technology and he worked as a European Union-Japan Science and Technology Research Fellow at the same university. After that he held a research fellowship (Marie Curie) at the Department of Applied Economics, and the Department of Land Economy at the Climate Change Mitigation Research Center (4CMR), both at Cambridge University. David is interested in the interaction of several disciplines: economics, engineering and political issues affecting energy and environment. He is particularly interested in econometric applications to energy technologies including vehicles as well as on energy policy assessment and design.

Research Interests:

Dr Bonilla’s current research includes: Adoption of Bio-fuels in UK transport; Econometric Analysis of New Car Fuel Economy Models (Japan, UK); Demand for Freight transport; Gasoline Demand Forecasting (Japan, UK); Demand for Alternative Fuels / Vehicles; and Modelling technological change affecting energy supply and demand.
His research interests include: Transport energy demand modelling; alternative fuel vehicles; distributed generation and low CO2 technologies; Asia pacific energy issues; EU energy policy; and global climate change policy.
Along with the TSU director (Prof. David Banister) and Dr J. Zhao of the Environmental Change Institute (ECI), David is currently developing a transport and energy research programme focusing on China.

Selected Publications:

Journal Articles

D. Bonilla and T. Foxon, ‘Demand for new car fuel economy in the UK 1970-2005’, Journal of Transport Economics and Policy (forthcoming, 2008)
D. Bonilla and P. Agnolucci, ‘UK freight demand: Elasticities and decoupling’, Journal of Transport Economics and Policy (forthcoming, 2008)
D. Bonilla, ‘Fuel price changes and the adoption of cogeneration in the UK and the Netherlands’, The Electricity Journal (2007), 20(7), 59-71
D. Bonilla, A. Akisawa, T. Kashiwagi, ‘Modelling the adoption of industrial cogeneration in Japan using manufacturing plant survey data’, Energy Policy (2003), 31(9), 895-910
D. Bonilla, B. Baran Saha, A. Akisawa, T. Kashiwagi, ‘Technological breakthrough to prevent global warming: The Japanese paradox’, The World Resource Review (2002), 14(1), 54-68
D. Bonilla, A. Akisawa, T. Kashiwagi, ‘The adoption of cogeneration in the Japanese manufacturing sector: technological, economic and institutional determinants’, International Journal of Energy Technology and Policy (2002), 1(1-2), 121-96

Working Papers

D. Bonilla, ‘Energy prices, production and the adoption of cogeneration in the UK and the Netherlands’, Electricity Policy Research Group, Working Paper series (2006) (2006). Faculty of Economics, Cambridge University
D. Bonilla and T. Foxon, ‘Estimating the demand for new car fuel economy in the UK 1970-2004 using a two-stage error correction model. Environmental Economy and Policy Research’, Discussion Paper Series, Department of Land economy (2007). University of Cambridge
D. Bonilla and A. Akisawa, ‘Gasoline demand and new car fuel economy in Japan’ (2007), (article in review)

Book Chapters

D. Bonilla (contributor), ‘Energy-End-Use Efficiency’, Chapter 6 in World Energy Assessment: Energy and the Challenge of Sustainability (2000), World Energy Council, United Nations Development Programme, UN Department of Economics and Social affairs, New York
T. Kashiwagi, B.B. Saha, D. Bonilla and A. Akisawa, ‘Technological and economic potential of greenhouse gas emissions reduction’, Chapter 3 in Climate Change 2001, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change mitigation (IPCC), Contribution of Working Group III to the third Assessment of the IPCC (1999), Cambridge University Press, 219-20
D. Bonilla (contributor), ‘APERC’, in APEC Asia Pacific Energy Demand and Supply Outlook (1998), Institute of Energy Economics, APERC, Tokyo

Conference Papers

D. Bonilla, ‘Vehicle sales and Fuel Economy: Evidence from Japan’, Universities’ Transport Studies Group, 40th Annual Conference, 3-5 January 2008, Southampton
D. Bonilla, ‘Challenges in the Transportation Sector’, paper presented at ‘The Energy Transition: The Global Challenge’ conference, Centre de Recherche en Économie et Gestion Appliquées, École Nationale Supérieure du Pétrole et des Moteurs, Institut Français du Pétrole, Paris
D. Bonilla and T. Foxon, ‘New car fuel economy of gasoline and diesel in the UK 1977-2003’, paper presented at the International association of energy economics conference on ‘Energy markets and sustainability in a larger Europe’ (2007), Florence
D. Bonilla, ‘The demand for gasoline of passenger vehicles in Japan to 2010: a vehicle stock and vehicle efficiency approach’, paper presented at the Int. Association of Energy Economics Conference on ‘Securing Energy in Insecure Times’, June 2006, Berlin
D. Bonilla (participant), ‘Post 2012 Climate Policy: Architectures and Participation Scenarios’, Venice, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, 20-21 June 2005. In cooperation with Stanford University and Resources for the Future
D. Bonilla, ‘Modelling the adoption of cogeneration and manufacturing industry characteristics: The case of the UK and Netherlands’, paper presented at the Judge Business School, Cambridge University, May 2005
D. Bonilla, A. Akisawa, T. Kashiwagi, ‘The rise and fall in cogeneration, electricity price and income in the Japanese and EU manufacturing sectors: an econometric assessment’, presented to the conference Modelling in Energy and policy. 6th International European Conference, Zurich, September 2004
D. Bonilla, A. Akisawa, T. Kashiwagi, ‘A survey on the performance of, and plant manager satisfaction with, cogeneration plants in the Japanese manufacturing sector’, paper presented to International symposium on distributed generation power systems market aspects, Royal Institute of Technology, Department of electrical engineering, Stockholm, October 2-4 2002
D. Bonilla, ‘la Moderna Cogeneracion en Japon’, Instituto de Investigaciones Economicas, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico. Mexico City (2002). Seminar organized by the research group of Petroleum and Energy.
D. Bonilla, A. Akisawa, T. Kashiwagi, ‘The penetration of small-scale cogeneration systems in Japanese Industry: 1985-1998’, paper presented to the Summer Study on Energy Efficiency in industry, Summer Study for an Energy Efficient Economy in Industry, American Council for an Energy Efficient Economy, Tarrytown New York, 24-27 July 2001
D. Bonilla, B. Baran Saha, A. Akisawa, T. Kashiwagi, ‘Technological breakthrough to prevent global warming: The Japanese paradox’, paper presented to the 12th Global Warming Conference, Cambridge, UK (2001)
D. Bonilla (discussant, reviewer and rapporteur), ‘Society, Behaviour and Climate Change Mitigation’ in, E. Jochem, J. Sathaye, D. Bouille, (eds.) Advances in Global Change Research (2000), vol. 8, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht
D. Bonilla, ‘Mexico’s Energy Situation’, paper given at the Institute of Energy Economics, Asia Pacific Energy Research Center, Tokyo (1997)